Lidl and Aldi Enter Convenience Store Market – a New Threat for Retailers?

Both Aldi and Lidl have announced that they will be opening up convenience stores to compete with  Tesco Metro and Sainsbury Local which is big news in the convenience store market.

Aldi trialled their first store in Kilburn which has proved to be a great success, and Lidl is to follow with a store in Kentish town. The convenience store market has been one of the few growth areas for the supermarkets, with all keen to continue expansion too.

However, this could come to a pre-mature end with the emergence of the discounters into this market space. How will this affect the current crop of independents and retail outlets already there, and in turn affect the larger wholesalers too?

With the emergence of cheaper goods from Aldi and Lidl in a convenient format, this will have an impact on the current crop of Sainsbury and Tesco convenience stores, as well as all other independents. Customers are going for convenience and a cheaper price, and hence the new Lidl and Aldi stores will experience more customers which will be taken at the expense of the existing independents and supermarket chains.

As the independents buy their goods at the large wholesalers e.g. Bestway and Booker then the sales of these wholesalers could drop too, as they are dependent on the convenience store trade. Those wholesalers who have a large food service offering will see less of an impact than those who rely on convenience stores.

It’s interesting times for the retail and wholesale market and there could be some major changes happening over the next ten years in this market place.

Tesco Reported £250m Profit Error – A Warning to Wholesalers?

As you must know by now, Tesco had a disastrous week recently, reporting a £250m profit error and seeing its sales crashing to 11 year lows. How such a big retailer could have got into such a mess, and is this a time bomb waiting to explode for other retailers, and indeed wholesalers too?

To see how this loss came about, we need to understand where this profit adjustment came from.

In most retailers and wholesalers, the big manufacturers e.g. Kellogg’s, Coke, Gillette pay them to help fund promotions to shift their goods. In this way they may contribute to advertising campaigns, special displays, or when items are discounted e.g. from £1.99 to £1.49. Here the suppliers typically pay the difference.

Most of this is linked to performance, so the rebate may be paid for the number sold. e.g. a penny in the pound for every 100 items sold.

Tesco had to estimate how much rebate it would receive from suppliers by forecasting sales. If this was too high, then the rebates are more than collected and the profit is overstated.

This rebate system also is prevalent with the wholesalers, and so if this could happen in the largest supermarket, can it also happen within the largest wholesalers too?

The answer would depend on how they book these rebates in their accounts, and how good the Finance Director is at his job. Tesco was in an awkward position as it didn’t have a Finance Director since April, and so this is where the error has occurred as nobody was taking control of the situation. Now may be a good time for all existing wholesalers and supermarkets to review their accounting practices in regard to the rebates received from manufacturers.

Booker Reports Strong Growth in Sales – What is the Impact of this on the Wholesale Market?

Booker last week reported good sales growth over the  quarter, with Non-Tobacco like-for-like sales up 3.1 percent for the quarter. Sales growth for all stores including the Makro stores was 0.1% up on the same period last year, for the 12 weeks to 12th September 2014 – a pretty solid result.

However, Makro endured a 10.8% decline in its sales for the quarter, as it disposed of its unprofitable categories.

Shares in the company were up 4.5% to 121.5pence on morning on trading after the announcement and continue to trade well at 123.55 pence by the end of last week (26th September).

What does this mean for the wholesale market as a whole? Has Booker taken share from the other wholesale players? Or is this the result of real growth in the market, as a result of more convenience stores being opened?

The number of convenience stores, bars, restaurants, kitchens and caterers in this country has largely stayed consistent at around 450,000. There hasn’t been significant growth in the number of convenience stores which is the largest customer base of Booker and the largest part of the market with approximately 250,000 independent convenience stores in the UK today. Thus, the growth comes largely as a result of an improved offering which existing customers find very attractive.

The Makro acquisition has added sales to the Booker group, as well as enhanced synergies from added purchasing power etc. However, as it was already a loss making business before the acquisition, there is still a lot to do by reducing the categories which are loss making e.g. electrical, fashion etc. and so we can expect to see further improvements in profitability over the coming quarters too. By focusing on their core customer group and market lines Booker will be able to improve the supply chains in those areas.

By consistently delivering high levels of customer service and competitive pricing levels of promotions on the key product lines, Booker looks set to continue its strong performance under the leadership of Charles Wilson, Booker CEO.

Scotland Voted ‘No’ to Independence, what is the Impact on Wholesale Prices?

It was a big day for the UK on Friday morning, with the results of the Scottish Referendum. With Scotland voting ‘No’ on leaving the UK, it was one of the biggest days in the last 300 years in the history of the United Kingdom, and not to be repeated for a long time too!

So how does this affect wholesales prices of your food and drink items, I hear you ask? Well, we can look at it both in terms of a ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ to Scottish Independence and see what the affect’s on the wholesale prices would have been.

Today, all trade freely moves between England and Scotland in the UK. The big wholesalers have their headquarters in England, and run their Scottish stores usually as a subsidiary of their UK branch and so the stores are just treated exactly the same as the English stores with the same products, similar prices and the same distribution network.

However, if Scotland had decided to go independent, there would be a new border created between England and Scotland, with a new currency too, as the pound most likely would not have been allowed to continue as a currency in Scotland. This would have had a large implication on the prices charged to customers and the transfer of goods between the two countries.

Prices would be open to a foreign exchange rate, and we forecast that prices would have increased in relation to those in the UK, with the exchange rate fluctuating with the new independent status of the country. Additionally, transferring stocks to the ‘new Scotland’ would have incurred further charges with import duties going up, especially for Tobacco and Alcohol as the ‘new Scotland’ tries to raise funds to support their new independent country.

Additionally, the cost of distribution may be affected too. As Scotland is a separate country, they would be able to choose which taxes to apply to petrol prices in the country, making distribution to stores more expensive if petrol prices were to rise with the higher taxes.

All in all, it was a beneficial result for all wholesale businesses up and down the country that Scotland did not vote ‘Yes’ to independence and with this uncertainty removed, small businesses can now get back to working on improving their own sales, profitability and growth – the real issues that they face today, rather an issues brought about through decisions outside of their control.

ITP Analytics Launch

After many months of research, programming and data gathering, we launched the Improve That Price Analytics online reports. The report provides users with live data on the Foodservice Wholesale and Cash & Cary market. These reports can be viewed by category, brand or type. The data can also be filtered to show only the Price Marked, Promotions or the Multi-buys. The site also features the price history of products, is very user friendly and you can have a two weeks free trial at  improvethatprice.com/analytics. For further information email Faisal on faisal@improvethatprice.com.

Improve That Price Analytics

This week, after many months of research, programming and data gathering, we are launching the Improve That Price Analytics online reports.

The report provides users with live data on the Foodservice Wholesale and Cash & Cary market. These reports can be viewed by category, brand or type. The data can also be filtered to show only the Price Marked, Promotions or the Multi-buys.

The site also features the price history of products, is very user friendly and you can have a two weeks free trial at  improvethatprice.com/analytics.

If further information is required then please email Faisal on faisal@improvethatprice.com.

 

Improve That Price, in short.

Improve That Price was launched in January 2012.

It has three directors and the current team consists of five people split into programming, marketing, finance, data management and public relations.

There are 17,128 listed products and  this number is increasing daily.

On average users can save approximately 7%.

Improve That Price will shortly be launching its Analytics tool giving live price updates on all drink products helping the food service industry and manufactures understand pricing strategies of their customers.

Users can now track their favourite products and receive email alerts whenever the price drops.

Users can also leave a review for suppliers helping others users decide who to order from.

There is currently no other price comparison site for the catering industry.

There have been several articles written about Improve That Price http://improvethatprice.com/press.php.